By Phil Mobley CoStar Analytics
Office tenants signed up for an estimated 410 million square feet of space in 2025, a meaningful increase over the prior year. Still, persistently smaller deal sizes and a wide variation in leasing across major cities indicate a choppy recovery from the post-pandemic doldrums.
The result represents an increase of more than 5% from a lackluster 2024, in which office leasing volume fell to its lowest level in 15 years, excluding the pandemic year of 2020. Furthermore, leasing momentum gained traction throughout the year, as 2025 closed out with three consecutive quarters of leasing volume exceeding 100 million square feet, a first since the opening three quarters of 2022.
The trend toward smaller lease sizes is nearly universal across the country’s largest office markets. Otherwise, however, leasing performance varied widely across local markets. Boston saw the strongest year-over-year recovery, a 52% surge that brought annual leasing volume up to its pre-2020 average.
However, with several deals involving in-market cannibalization and others for yet-to-be-constructed space, the recent strong leasing has done little so far to stem the tide of rising vacancy in the face of Boston's nation-leading supply growth.
New York remained a leader in the national recovery, with office leasing volume rising over 20% from 2024 and reaching 10% above its average from the late 2010s.
Elsewhere, however, results were checkered. Chicago, Dallas-Fort Worth, Los Angeles and Washington, D.C., saw modest year-over-year increases in office leasing, but nevertheless remained below their customary levels. Meanwhile, leasing activity declined somewhat in Atlanta, Houston, Philadelphia, and Seattle from 2024.
Going forward, it may be difficult for the national office market to produce further growth in annual leasing activity for some time. Although demand has begun to recover, the rapid contraction in supply growth is a powerful constraint on tenants.
The lack of appealing options in new buildings appears set to choke off major office relocations, leaving many large tenants to bide their time in place, perhaps executing short-term renewals or committing to small expansions where possible.
The likely result could be more of the same: Smaller deal sizes and suppressed overall leasing volume.
